November 15, 2023 SPX, SPY, ES Trade Plan

Market Recap

Not much of a recap as the market brokeout on lower CPI news yesterday. These days where we have major market making moves premarket are always tough to trade. Especially when the majority of the move occurs in the futures session.

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As our trade plan targets all hit in futures action we provided updates in our trading room - aka the Substack chat room - where we called 4475, 4495 and finally 4505 as targets on the day.

Be sure to checkout our trading room chat at substack.com/chat

While the beat on the CPI helped fuel our trend day the number of shorts and the short squeeze that occurred really help fuel this fire. Lots of bears out there and maybe they will be right in a few months/year timeframe, but remember check your one sided bias at the door when it comes to trading especially if you are trading on a daily basis.

Now let’s jump into the trade plan…

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11/15 SPX/SPY/ES Intraday Overview (TL;DR)

Today’s news catalysts are PPI, Retail Sales, and the Empire State Manufacturing Index. Should be another fun one prior to market open. Additionally, overnight China released retail sales numbers and it was a beat giving us a gap up in futures.

The zone in and around 4480-4495 is complete chop and most likely a zone for accumulation if we were to see it again. Bulls are in full control and it is going to take a bit for the bears to make a dent into this run.

Thus, if I am a bull today I want price to stay above 4505. That is the LIS. Above it we target 4520 - almost there in futures - and above it we target…